– The Stock Market Companion –
15Minute Market Update
April 13, 2012
—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——
Published 3 Days / Week
Monday, Wednesday, Friday
Monthly Subscription $49.95
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-Executive Summary-
- Today the markets moved sharply lower, in tandem with shares in Europe. S&P 500 (-1.25%), DOW (-1.05%), NASDAQ (-1.45%)
- Market Overview = The market is in a confirmed uptrend since the October 4th pivot point that we identified at its inception and profited from. Click here for today’s SMC S&P 500 (ETF SPY) chart. The U.S. broader equity market (S&P 500) is bouncing around near its 50 day moving average in price. The S&P 500 ETF chart that we show below, shows strong support for the markets at 135. The markets may test that level before market participants decide what to do next.
- U.S. corporate quarterly earnings reporting season began this week and the results have so far been very good. Please see our Today’s Highlights section, below.
- Yesterday – after the markets closed – the company Coinstar reported excellent earnings. Coinstar owns and operates the Redbox movie rental kiosks that you see at McDonald’s restaurants and other retail locations across the USA. We have made two Successful Investing videos on this development. Video 1 Video 2
- Please let us know if you would like us to perform a S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investing Method analysis on a stock that has your interest. Support@stockmarketcompanion.com
- Please click here to send us your feedback. Let us know how we are doing – We are here to serve you. Support@Stockmarketcompanion.com
– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –
| Nr. | Co. | Ticker | Action | Entry Date | Current Gain (Loss) |
| 1 | ZAGG, Inc. | ZAGG | Holding | 2/28/2012 | +2% |
| 2 | Eight by Eight | EGHT | “Toe-In” Holding |
3/9/2012 | -14% |
| 3 | EBAY | EBAY | Holding | 3/14/2012 | -3% |
|
4 |
Ford Motor Co. | F | Holding | 3/15/2012 |
-8% |
| 5 | Linked-In | LNKD | Holding | 3/26/2012 | +5% |
| 6 | Molycorp | MCP | Holding | 3/29/2012 | -2% |
| 7 | Alcoa | AA | Holding | 4/11/2012 | -1% |
– Stock Market Companion – ADVANCED INVESTOR OPPORTUNITIES –
We are introducing this section so that at SMC, we can “get out of the way” and let you decide for yourselves and not influence members so greatly with our own risk-tolerances and objectives at the time. We WILL point out key characteristics that we think are important to consider, or logical areas to place stops or offer realistic targets based on our over two decades of investing experience, but we will be less inclined to judge these opportunities beyond that. What we list in this section will be cover many dimensions:
- Growth stories following our successful S.I.M.P.L.E. investing method
- Unusual opportunities arising from oversold or overbought conditions
- Opportunities presenting themselves due to key technical developments in the shares (key support and resistance line engagement, high volume clues…)
- Stocks that offer excellent dividend yields and measurable risk
- Covered Call ideas
- Higher risk but possibly quite unique investment opportunties
- Excellent mutual funds and ETF ideas (including off-shore)
At this time, we are including this section in the SMC Basic Membership. Our advisors may determine that these insights should be offered outside of the basic membership for a modest additional fee. That decision is for sometime later. Let’s proceed …
| Nr. | Introduction Date |
% Gain or (Loss) (Introduction) |
Co. | Ticker | Possible Opportunity NOW | STOP Level or Other Considerations | Possible TARGET | REWARD / Risk Ratio |
S.I.M.P.L.E. Notes + |
| 1 | 3/7/2012 | +/- 0% | Vermillion | VRML | WAIT for break above 3/6 highs for entry ($2.95) | With 12 Million shares outstanding, this company could possibly really run on news that its OVA1 test becomes a standard. |
– Markets “At a Glance” –
(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)
| Market | Price (Today’s Close) | Unit of Measure | Today’s Direction |
| SP-500 | 1,370.26 | Index | Down |
| DOW-30 | 12,849.59 | Index | Down |
| NASDAQ | 3,011.33 | Index | Down |
– Market Trends –
Trend |
SP-500 |
DJ-30 |
NASDAQ |
| Short Term | DOWN/FLAT | DOWN/FLAT | DOWN/FLAT |
| Intermediate | Flat/UP | Flat/UP | Flat/UP |
| Long Term | Lateral | Lateral | Lateral |
*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.
– Market Perspectives –
For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –
SMC SP-500 ETF Daily Chart (Please click on the chart to see a bigger, easy to read chart on a separate browser tab window).
– Today’s Highlights –
Picture three groups – with these headlines –
- Asia – represented primarily by China. China announced its Gross Domestic Product number for the year completed at +8.1% growth vs. +8.4%. Asian markets were NOT disappointed in this number and moved HIGHER (except in India).
- Europe – represented primarily by rim European nations that belong to the European Monetary Union and who are heavily indebted. Currently the focus is on Spain. It turns out that reports are circling that Spanish banks accessed EUR 228 billion in March from the European Central Bank, as opposed to EUR152 billion in February. This is a real surge in borrowing and the markets are concerned that this is indicating that all may not be well (which we know is accurate = all is NOT well there). Yields on Spanish 10 year bonds surged above 6%. Remember, yields move HIGHER when bond prices move LOWER. Bond prices move LOWER when there is decreased demand (or increased selling). In contrast, U.S. 10 year bond yields are sitting at approx. 2%.This situation in Europe had European financial stocks on the ropes today with the entire sector under pressure. European equities markets headed LOWER.
- United States – Alcoa kicked-off earnings this week with very good results. This morning J.P. Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo both reported very good earnings. J.P. Morgan Chase reported nonperforming assets of $11.7 billion, compared to $15 billion one year ago. The shares of both J.P. Morgan Chase and Wells Fargo headed DOWN in-step with their European counterparts, despite the good earnings. The shares of both companies have advanced very strongly since November, so a pull-back is NO SURPRISE.We have been reporting a steady DOWNTREND in the weekly jobless claims numbers reported on Thursdays by the U.S. government, but this week the number of jobless claims pushed back HIGHER. The downtrend is still in place, but a few weeks of numbers like this week (+380,000) will put the downtrend in question. Wells Fargo declared in its earnings conference call that housing is IMPROVING – but emphasized that improvements vary significantly by region.
Overall the U.S. markets followed Europe’s unrest and settled strongly lower for the day. The late day sag in the markets demonstrated a lack of real interest in the markets ahead of the weekend.
– S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investing Method tm –
– (Where each investment begins with a Story and ends with Earnings) –
S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investing is built upon these core concepts –
S = Story (What is / are the key catalyst(s) behind the company of interest?)
I = Institutional Investor Interest (Is the stock chart showing investor interest = buying or share accumulation?)
M = Market (Is the background market favorable for investing at this time? Don’t Fight the Market! We know the vast majority of stocks move in the direction of the overall market).
P = Person or Product (Is there a particular person or product that makes the story work for this investment?)
L = Leader (Is the company a leader in its industry group or is its product a leader in its market?)
E = Earnings (Are current quarterly earnings and annual earnings growing?)
Last night – after the markets closed – the company Coinstar (CSTR $65.78) reported excellent earnings. Coinstar is the owner / operator of the Redbox movie rental kiosks that you see in many places across the USA.
Until this year, the shares have been very turbulent at Coinstar – gapping-up from $30 to $60 and then down to $39 and so on … The movements have been unpredictable, and so we have stayed clear at Stock Market Companion.
Things may be changing now for Coinstar so we share a closer look with these two Successful Investing videos –
– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –
US Dollar |
1.3077 USD = 1 Euro |
USD / EUR |
Dollar = Strongly HIGHER against the Euro.
|
Gold |
$1,660.20 |
Ounce |
Gold = Down
|
Oil |
$102.84 |
Barrel (West Texas Crude) |
Oil = Flat
|
30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage |
4.03% |
Percent |
Flat |
10 Yr. Bond Yield |
1.99% |
Percent |
Down more as risk appetite for equities diminishes.
|
1 Yr. CD |
1.00 |
Percent |
Flat |
–Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.
Please help us by sending your valuable feedback to – Support@stockmarketcompanion.com
Signing-Off for Today,
Your -Stock Market Companion
** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **
The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling. This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual, and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual. By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties. You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities. Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.
Furthermore, the Stock Market Companion, Inc. is a content provider and publisher and not a registered broker-dealer or licensed investment professional. Our intent is to publish very accurate market information for an audience of subscribers (1000+ subscribers). By accessing the Stock Market Companion website and/or using the Stock Market Companion products and services such as this Market Update and accompanying Watchlist, you understand and agree that the material provided in the Stock Market Companion products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in a Stock Market Companion product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of the information contained in any Stock Market Companion product or service may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. Before selling or buying any stock or other investment you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information and to solicit advice as to the appropriateness of a given transaction or investment.
- The markets were AGAIN divergent today, just as yesterday revealing further weakness in the technology sector while the broader market (S&P 500) and the DOW (DJ-30) held POSITIVE.
- Research in Motion (Ticker: RIMM $27.75) reported earnings last night that were a major disappointment. We go through the details below. The company received 2 broker upgrades going into earnings. The stock then lost -21.45% from yesterday’s close into today. We go through our steps in handling our brief investment in the stock this last week – AND WHY, below.
- Crude oil continued to descend today, reflecting a drop in value of the U.S. dollar – BUT also concern of future demand as the global economy slows down.
- The S&P 500 is finding support at its 200 day exponential moving average. If the broader market doesn’t find strength here and begins to sink further, the next near point of support is the low it plumbed during the recent nuclear crisis in Japan. If it fails that point, then the intermediate term trend will be DOWN.
- Please click here to send us your feedback. Let us know how we
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