– The Stock Market Companion –
15Minute Market Update
January 30, 2012
—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——
Published 3 Days / Week
Monday, Wednesday, Friday
Monthly Subscription $49.95
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-Executive Summary-
- The markets closed FLAT today, but at the open things did not look near as good as they did at the close. Profit taking and uncertainty in Europe about Greece is the cause.
- Market Overview = The market is in a confirmed uptrend since the October 4th pivot point that we identified at its inception and profited from. Click here for today’s SMC S&P 500 (ETF) chart.
- The broader market’s nice uptrend is presenting a SUITABLE environment to be considering individual stock investments, and we have been doing so since the October 4th Upside Reversal Day.
- We posted two, short SMC Successful Investing videos to describe two important developments –
- Please click here to send us your feedback. Let us know how we are doing – We are here to serve you. Support@Stockmarketcompanion.com
– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –
| Nr. | Co. | Ticker | Action | Entry Date | Current Gain (Loss) |
| 1 | Boeing, Co. | BA | Holding | 12/22/2011 | +0% |
| 3 |
Alcoa, Inc. |
AA |
Holding | 1/3/2012 |
+6% |
| 4 | Dendreon, Inc. | DNDN | Holding | 1/11/2012 | -2% |
| 5 | Mitek, Inc. | MITK | Holding | 1/12/2012 | +6% |
| 6 | Cirrus Logic | CRUS | Holding | 1/17/2012 | +1% |
| 7 | Cree, Inc. | CREE | Holding | 1/18/2012 | +5% |
| 8 | Apple, Inc. | AAPL | Holding | 1/30/2012 | +/- 0% |
– Markets “At a Glance” –
(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)
| Market | Price (Today’s Close) | Unit of Measure | Today’s Direction |
| SP-500 | 1,313.01 | Index | Flat = -3.32 points |
| DOW-30 | 12,653.72 | Index | Flat = -6.74 points |
| NASDAQ | 2,811.94 | Index | Flat = -4.61 points |
– Market Trends –
Trend |
SP-500 |
DJ-30 |
NASDAQ |
| Short Term | Flat / UP | Flat / UP | Flat / UP |
| Intermediate | Flat | Flat | Flat |
| Long Term | Lateral | Lateral | Lateral |
*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.
– Market Perspectives –
For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –
SMC SP-500 ETF Daily Chart (Please click on the chart to see a bigger, easy to read chart on a separate browser tab window).
– Today’s Highlights –
Today, the broader market “pulled-back” in price to re-test its break-out from two weeks ago, when the market pushed higher above its October 2011 highs. This is a very natural activity to be taking place for the markets.
In parallel, there was more noise coming from Europe about Greece and uncertainty there relative to resolution of their immediate sovereign debt trouble. Remember, bond-holders there are being “asked” to “voluntarily” take a -60% or more reduction in their bond values. That’s not going down without serious negotiation.
Please click here for a short SMC Successful Investing Video reviewing the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), today! Please don’t forget to right click to the video for controls that allow you to rewind or stop the video.
– S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investingtm –
– (Where each investment begins with a Story and ends with Earnings) –
S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investing is built upon these core concepts –
S = Story (What is / are the key catalyst(s) behind the company of interest?)
I = Investor Interest (Is the stock chart showing investor interest = buying or share accumulation?)
M = Market (Is the background market favorable for investing at this time? Don’t Fight the Market! We know the vast majority of stocks move in the direction of the overall market).
P = Person or Product (Is there a particular person or product that makes the story work for this investment?)
L = Leader (Is the company a leader in its industry group or is its product a leader in its market?)
E = Earnings (Are current quarterly earnings and annual earnings growing?)
Today we sent out this Stock Market Companion Intra-Day Alert highlighting our SMC purchase of Apple, Inc. (AAPL $452) shares –
Dear Subscriber-Friend,
For many, it takes more than just a little mental adjustment to go ahead and purchase shares in a company whose shares are priced at $452/share. Once an investor believes that the investment may make complete sense from a risk / reward and a value / growth standpoint, the investor must still come to an understanding that it is all about percentage term gains and not worry about the the fact that the price of each share costs $452. In other words, it is not about the share count that matters. It’s about the return on investment that drive the decisions for successful investors.
At first glance it appears a lot simpler to buy 2,000 shares of a $4.50/share stock, investing $9,000 – with expectations that the stock will increase over time to $6.50/share, and place a stop at $3.90/share. Many new investors think that it is somehow easier for a $4.50/share stock to increase to $6.50/share = +44% gain, than a $452/share stock to increase to $651/share, but it is not. Both must increase based on expectations for earnings/share or value of the enterprise/share to increase over time.
If an investor was going to take the same $9,000 and purchase shares in Apple, Inc., the investor would purchase approx. 20 shares (rounding higher and not including commissions). If Apple shares increase to $651/share over time, that same approx. $9,000 would increase to approx. $13,020 in value = +44% increase.
There is a law of large numbers however that does come into play with a company like Apple, Inc. That involves Apple’s ability to continue to grow significantly, when it is already so large already. It does not involve the relative price of the shares. We believe that the Apple, Inc. market share of PC’s and smart phones and tablets can still increase significantly and drive earnings / share higher.
We purchased shares in Apple, Inc. at $452.47 and we have placed our stop at approx. $419/share.
Each investor is on their own. Please see our disclaimer below.
Your – Stock Market Companion
We made this short SMC Successful Investing Video to provide you with a close-up view of what we are seeing with the Apple, Inc. shares at this time. Please click here for the video. (Please don’t forget to right click on the video screen for controls that allow you to rewind or stop the video.)
– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –
US Dollar |
1.3149 USD = 1 Euro |
USD / EUR |
Dollar = Up
|
Gold |
$1,732.80 |
Ounce |
Gold = Flat |
Oil |
$99.13 |
Barrel (West Texas Crude) |
Oil = flat
|
30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage |
3.91% |
Percent |
Flat |
10 Yr. Bond Yield |
1.86% |
Percent |
Flat |
1 Yr. CD |
1.00 |
Percent |
Flat |
–Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.
Please help us by sending your valuable feedback to – Support@stockmarketcompanion.com
Signing-Off for Today,
Your -Stock Market Companion
** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **
The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling. This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual, and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual. By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties. You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities. Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.
Furthermore, the Stock Market Companion, Inc. is a content provider and publisher and not a registered broker-dealer or licensed investment professional. Our intent is to publish very accurate market information for an audience of subscribers (1000+ subscribers). By accessing the Stock Market Companion website and/or using the Stock Market Companion products and services such as this Market Update and accompanying Watchlist, you understand and agree that the material provided in the Stock Market Companion products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in a Stock Market Companion product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of the information contained in any Stock Market Companion product or service may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. Before selling or buying any stock or other investment you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information and to solicit advice as to the appropriateness of a given transaction or investment.
- The markets were AGAIN divergent today, just as yesterday revealing further weakness in the technology sector while the broader market (S&P 500) and the DOW (DJ-30) held POSITIVE.
- Research in Motion (Ticker: RIMM $27.75) reported earnings last night that were a major disappointment. We go through the details below. The company received 2 broker upgrades going into earnings. The stock then lost -21.45% from yesterday’s close into today. We go through our steps in handling our brief investment in the stock this last week – AND WHY, below.
- Crude oil continued to descend today, reflecting a drop in value of the U.S. dollar – BUT also concern of future demand as the global economy slows down.
- The S&P 500 is finding support at its 200 day exponential moving average. If the broader market doesn’t find strength here and begins to sink further, the next near point of support is the low it plumbed during the recent nuclear crisis in Japan. If it fails that point, then the intermediate term trend will be DOWN.
- Please click here to send us your feedback. Let us know how we
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