– The Stock Market Companion –

15Minute Market Update

January 23, 2012

—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——

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-Executive Summary-

  • The broader market closed FLAT / UP today.  The DOW and NASDAQ both closed flat to slightly negative
  • Market Overview = The market is in a confirmed uptrend since the October 4th pivot point that we identified at its inception and profited from. Click here for today’s SMC S&P 500 (ETF) chart.
  • The broader market’s nice uptrend is presenting a SUITABLE environment to be considering individual stock investments, and we have been doing so since the October 4th Upside Reversal Day.
  • SMC investment idea 3-D Systems, Inc. (DDD $18.73) advanced over +2.5% today alone.  Please see our SMC Successful Investing Video in our S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investing section, below.
  • SMC highlight from January 13th = Sears Holding Company (SHLD $47.39) advanced over +60% in a week.  The move DID NOT allow us an entry (so far).  We cover the details below in our video.
  • Bank of America (BAC $7.25) is looking very “buyable” in our SMC estimation.  Today’s news of their cost reduction plan is clearly being seen as a step in the right direction.
  • Please click here to send us your feedback.  Let us know how we are doing – We are here to serve you. Support@Stockmarketcompanion.com

– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –

Nr. Co. Ticker Action Entry Date Current Gain (Loss)
1 Boeing, Co. BA Holding 12/22/2011 +1%
3

Alcoa, Inc.

AA

Holding 1/3/2012

+5%

4 Dendreon, Inc. DNDN Holding 1/11/2012 -9%
5 Mitek, Inc. MITK Holding 1/12/2012 +4%
6 Cirrus Logic CRUS Holding 1/17/2012 +6%
7 Cree, Inc. CREE Holding 1/18/2012 +11%

In our opinion, Boeing (BA) is perhaps best purchased on a pull-back.  MITK may still be in buying range for those interested in a small / micro-cap investment ; DNDN is on a steep curve and is very speculative, but also quite possibly explosive.  DNDN may be building a high pennant formation that may resolve sharply higher.   Alcoa is less risky compared to DNDN and is now quite possibly entering a new uptrend.  CREE is NO LONGER buyable without a pullback.  CRUS and DNDN share similar patterns.    If the financial picture in Europe all of a sudden darkens, then all of these positions will be quite possibly sharply negatively impacted.   Please see our disclaimer below.

– Markets “At a Glance” –

(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)

 

Market Price (Today’s Close) Unit of Measure Today’s Direction
SP-500 1,316 Index FLAT = +0.62 points
DOW-30 12,708.82 Index Down = -11.66 points
NASDAQ 2,784.17 Index Flat = -2.53 points

 

– Market Trends –

 

Trend

SP-500

DJ-30

NASDAQ

Short Term Flat / UP Flat / UP Flat / UP
Intermediate Flat Flat Flat
Long Term Lateral Lateral Lateral

 

*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.

 

– Market Perspectives –

 

For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –

 

SMC SP-500 ETF Daily Chart (Please click on the chart to see a bigger, easy to read chart on a separate browser tab window).

 

– Today’s Highlights –

The U.S. equities (stock) markets are quieting down.  Volume is low.  Here’s what we know now –

 

  1. The broader market is in a clearly defined and robust UP-Trend.
  2. We are in earnings season, which starts traditionally with Alcoa (Ticker: AA $10.23) announcing their earnings first for members of the DOW.
  3. When J.P. Morgan Chase announced their earnings last week, their CEO Mr. Dimon said that he felt that the coordinated actions to improve liquidity in Europe (among banks) was very significant and had been well done.  He felt that that action perhaps greatly removed the specter of Big Trouble there for this year.
  4. Greece bondholders have not yet accepted a deal to “voluntarily” reduce the value of their investments by up to -70%!  More surprises could be in store for the markets here.
  5. Jobless claims are in a defined DOWNTREND in the U.S.  This is giving us clues that businesses are perhaps momentarily satisfied with their staffing levels for upcoming economic conditions.
  6. The economy in the U.S. appears to be modestly improving.
  7. The economy in Europe is still decelerating due to their sovereign debt troubles and uncertainties arising from them.  Germany’s GDP (Gross Domestic Product) forecasts for 2012 have been reduced to below +1%.  That is very close to “0” AND can easily fall below “0”.  A traditional measure of a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth.
  8. Stocks are improving in value.  Market leading stocks like Apple however are not simply “shooting” higher.
  9. U.S. corporate earnings are strong.
  10. The markets are rewarding companies who are performing well with increasing share prices.
  11. Companies like Alcoa – who reported an earnings MISS – but also possible attractive aluminum prices ahead are being given the benefit of the doubt and share prices are increasing.

 

 

– S.I.M.P.L.E.  Stock Investingtm
(Where each investment begins with a Story and ends with Earnings)

S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investing is built upon these core areas –

S = Story (What is / are the key catalyst(s) behind the company of interest?)

I = Investor Interest (Is the stock chart showing investor interest = buying or share accumulation?)

M = Market (Is the background market favorable for investing at this time?  This recognizes that 9 out of 10 stocks move with the overall market, according to decades long research from William O’Neil.).

P = Person or Product (Is there a particular person or product that makes the story work for this investment?)

L = Leader (Is the company a leader in its industry group or is its product a leader in its market?)

E = Earnings (Are current quarterly earnings and annual earnings growing?)

 

Today we’ve summarized the market and some individual stock stories with this 5 minute Stock Market Companion Successful Investing Video-

Please click here to watch it and please don’t forget to use your right mouse button to bring-up controls to replay, rewind, or stop the video.

 

– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –

 

US Dollar

1.3028 USD = 1 Euro

USD / EUR

Dollar = DOWN some.

Gold

$1,676.60

Ounce

Gold = Flat

Oil

$99.89

Barrel (West Texas Crude)

Oil = Down

30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage

3.91%

Percent

Flat

10 Yr. Bond Yield

2.07%

Percent

Upward move.

1 Yr. CD

1.00

Percent

Flat

Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.

Please help us by sending your valuable feedback to – Support@stockmarketcompanion.com

Signing-Off for Today,

Your -Stock Market Companion

** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **

The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling.  This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual,  and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual.  By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties.  You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities.  Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.

Furthermore, the Stock Market Companion, Inc. is a content provider and publisher and not a registered broker-dealer or licensed investment professional.  Our intent is to publish very accurate market information for an audience of subscribers (1000+ subscribers).  By accessing the Stock Market Companion website and/or using the Stock Market Companion products and services such as this Market Update and accompanying Watchlist, you understand and agree that the material provided in the Stock Market Companion products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in a Stock Market Companion product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.  To the extent any of the information contained in any Stock Market Companion product or service may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.  Before selling or buying any stock or other investment you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information and to solicit advice as to the appropriateness of a given transaction or investment.

  • The markets were AGAIN divergent today, just as yesterday revealing further weakness in the technology sector while the broader market (S&P 500) and the DOW (DJ-30) held POSITIVE.
  • Research in Motion (Ticker: RIMM $27.75) reported earnings last night that were a major disappointment.  We go through the details below.  The company received 2 broker upgrades going into earnings.  The stock then lost -21.45% from yesterday’s close into today.  We go through our steps in handling our brief investment in the stock this last week – AND WHY, below.
  • Crude oil continued to descend today, reflecting a drop in value of the U.S. dollar – BUT also  concern of future demand as the global economy slows down.
  • The S&P 500 is finding support at its 200 day exponential moving average.  If the broader market doesn’t find strength here and begins to sink further, the next near point of support is the low it plumbed during the recent nuclear crisis in Japan.  If it fails that point, then the intermediate term trend will be DOWN.
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