– The Stock Market Companion –
15Minute Market Update
January 18, 2012
—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——
Published 3 Days / Week
Monday, Wednesday, Friday
Monthly Subscription $49.95
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-Executive Summary-
- The broader market closed UP today. S&P 500 = +1.11%; DOW = +0.78; NASDAQ = +1.53%
- Market Overview = The market is in a confirmed uptrend since the October 4th pivot point that we identified at its inception and profited from. Click here for today’s SMC S&P 500 (ETF) chart.
- Each of the major U.S. markets closed into multi-month high territory. Volume is low, but the direction is undeniable.
- A good friend reminds me from time to time – Never confuse the undeniable with the unexplainable.
- We’ve added holdings in two more companies over the last two days and sent out SMC Intra-Day Alerts with short SMC Successful Investing Videos – See below.
- Shares of Sears Holding Co. have shot strongly HIGHER as market participants saw Mr. Lampert’s HUGE insider purchases that we mentioned on Friday. The stock was already too high to engage safely.
- We took modest profits today in DEXO as the stock dropped abruptly lower. We were looking for the shares to quietly build a lateral consolidation. If the shares move back above $2.25 we will consider re-loading our investment.
- SMC Watchlist stocks Home Depot, Staar Surgical, Akorn, Inc. are each in tenacious uptrends. Home Depot is UP almost +50% from the October lows. We’ve reported frequently about the excellence of their CEO, Mr. Blake.
- This last weekend, Carnival Cruiselines experienced tragedy with its Costa Concordia ship as it struck rock and nearly capsized on the west coast of Italy. Some passengers perished and the ships captain has been arrested for his possibly incredible negligence and for NOT staying with the ship and NOT helping evacuate passengers. Carnival Cruiselines is publicly traded under the ticker “CCL”. We will monitor it for extreme weakness over the next months. Some may want to consider shorting the shares on a bounce higher from here. Here is a good article covering this tragedy.
- 2012 economic forecast for Germany lowered.
- Please click here to send us your feedback. Let us know how we are doing – We are here to serve you. Support@Stockmarketcompanion.com
– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –
| Nr. | Co. | Ticker | Action | Entry Date | Current Gain (Loss) |
| 1 | Boeing, Co. | BA | Holding | 12/22/2011 | +1% |
|
2 |
DEX-One Corp. |
DEXO |
Sold Today |
12/29/2011 |
+16.4% (Final) |
| 3 |
Alcoa, Inc. |
AA |
Holding | 1/3/2012 |
+3% |
| 4 | Dendreon, Inc. | DNDN | Holding | 1/11/2012 | -3% |
| 5 | Mitek, Inc. | MITK | Holding | 1/12/2012 | +4% |
| 6 | Cirrus Logic | CRUS | Holding | 1/17/2012 | +1% |
| 7 | Cree, Inc. | CREE | Purchased Today | 1/18/2012 | +1% |
– Markets “At a Glance” –
(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)
| Market | Price (Today’s Close) | Unit of Measure | Today’s Direction |
| SP-500 | 1,308.04 | Index | UP = +14.37 points |
| DOW-30 | 12,578.95 | Index | UP = +96.88 points |
| NASDAQ | 2,769.76 | Index | UP = +41.63 points |
– Market Trends –
Trend |
SP-500 |
DJ-30 |
NASDAQ |
| Short Term | Flat / UP | Flat / UP | Flat / UP |
| Intermediate | Flat | Flat | Flat |
| Long Term | Lateral | Lateral | Lateral |
*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.
– Market Perspectives –
For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –
SMC SP-500 ETF Daily Chart (Please click on the chart to see a bigger, easy to read chart on a separate browser tab window).
– Today’s Highlights –
When we reported last, the nation of France had just had their sovereign debt rating CUT and the U.S. equities markets were not sure what to do in response. At Stock Market Companion, we suggested that –
“From an investors standpoint, our first question has to be – “Is the market already factoring this news into its current price?” Our SMC answer is – to a far reaching degree, “YES.” This is why the markets did NOT fall off a cliff today on this news. We think that bond rating adjustments on the 1st world welfare states like France, help give politicians ammunition to make important policy changes. They have an excuse to tell their electorate why certain social programs are being adjusted. Bond ratings changes help them find a balance that has been sorely lacking over the past decade.
Remember however that the markets often need a few days to finally decide which direction they are going to go, in response to such foundational issues.”
So far, the markets are responding with a “ho hum” attitude to trouble in Europe as market participants pay more attention to the FAVORABLE earnings coming from U.S. corporations. Alcoa (AA $10.03) kicked-off earnings with a LOSS (their 1st quarterly loss in over 8 quarters = 2 years), BUT gave a very favorable indication of aluminum demand for 2012 and is working hard to do their part to keep the supply lower in order to increase the aluminum ingot price.
J.P. Morgan-Chase came out with earnings that revealed excellent results for 2011 AND JPM CEO, Jamie Dimon mentioned that actions taken in late November to stabilize the short term lending in Europe were very favorable (but of course not guaranteed) for keeping trouble in Europe contained for 2012.
Today – Goldman Sachs (GS $104.80) came out with earnings that BEAT estimates and offered a glimmer of hope ahead. This gave many financial stocks a boost today AND the rest of the market.
On the technology front, shares of Apple, Inc. (AAPL $429) marched higher into new high territory, with another brokerage / financial firm giving it an upgrade to $530 or so.
Our broad road-map – the S&P 500 ETF (SPY $130.77) inched ABOVE the October highs today and maintains its favorable posturing, albeit on lower volume.
– S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investingtm –
– (Where each investment begins with a Story and ends with Earnings) –
Today it’s official – we are introducing our Stock Market Companion – S.I.M.P.L.E. Stock Investing Method, with the understanding that every investment begins with a story and ends with a consideration of real earnings. We want to keep our investing SIMPLE and focused. This is a format that will change lives and give users a pattern and routine for identifying excellent investments.
S = Story (What is / are the key catalyst(s) behind the company of interest?)
I = Investor Interest (Is the stock chart showing investor interest = buying or share accumulation?)
M = Market (Is the background market favorable for investing at this time? This recognizes that 9 out of 10 stocks move with the overall market, according to decades long research from William O’Neil.).
P = Person or Product (Is there a particular person or product that makes the story work for this investment?)
L = Leader (Is the company a leader in its industry group or is its product a leader in its market?)
E = Earnings (Are current quarterly earnings and annual earnings growing?)
On Friday we wrote … “SHLD shares closed at $82.47 on October 27th and today closed at $30.99. That’s an approx. -63% haircut in a 2.5 months. The last three days has seen Mr. Eddie Lambert – the KEY SHLD director – purchasing $136.5 million and then another $5.5 million worth of stock on the open market. This has our attention. Sears Holding Co. operates Kmart stores as well as Sears. Nothing particularly good going on there, however this type of open market purchasing gets our attention (and others too)” On Tuesday, the SHLD stock opened at $34.04 and JUMPED to $38. There was nothing we could do. It’s certainly not a stock story that we like very much – besides the insider buying component.
Over the last two days we have made two new investments and today closed our DEXO holding, with these SMC Intra-Day Updates –
Investment –
Dear Subscriber-Friend,
At Stock Market Companion today we purchased a few shares of a more speculative investment involving Cirrus Logic, Inc (CRUS $20.49). The company made a favorable announcement on January 10th.
For protection, our stop is down at approx. $18.50 and our target on the shares to the upside is perhaps $26/share, which would represent an approx. +25% on our investment.
Please click here for a link to our short SMC Successful Investing Video describing our interest in CRUS today. To rewind or otherwise control the video, please use your right mouse button.
We are simply reporting our own actions in the market place. Each investor is on their own. Please see our disclaimer below.
Your – Stock Market Companion
Investment –
Dear Subscriber-Friend,
At Stock Market Companion today we have purchased shares of Cree, Inc. (CREE $24.24).
We have created two short videos to show you what we are seeing –
Video 1 = Story, earnings, and overall stock performance
Video 2 = Story (continued), today’s technical price action and what has piqued our interest.
Please don’t forget to right click your mouse on the video chart to bring up controls that will allow you to easily replay or stop the video.
We are simply reporting our own actions in the market place. Each investor is on their own. Please see our disclaimer below.
Your – Stock Market Companion
Profit Taking on Shares in DEXO-
Dear Subscriber-Friend,
At Stock Market Companion today we SOLD shares of DEXO at $1.95 AND increased our STOP on the remainder of our holdings to $1.86.
We don’t like the severity of today’s sudden pull-back in the shares. We were hoping for a quiet, lateral consolidation to set in – but that’s not what the market is offering.
We are simply reporting our own actions in the market place. Each investor is on their own. Please see our disclaimer below.
Your – Stock Market Companion
– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –
US Dollar |
1.2854USD = 1 Euro |
USD / EUR |
Dollar = DOWN
|
Gold |
$1,659.90 |
Ounce |
Gold = UP |
Oil |
$101.15 |
Barrel (West Texas Crude) |
Oil = UP
|
30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage |
3.91% |
Percent |
Flat |
10 Yr. Bond Yield |
1.9% |
Percent |
Trending down… a sign of caution for stocks. |
1 Yr. CD |
1.00 |
Percent |
Flat |
–Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.
Please help us by sending your valuable feedback to – Support@stockmarketcompanion.com
Signing-Off for Today,
Your -Stock Market Companion
** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **
The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling. This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual, and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual. By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties. You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities. Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.
Furthermore, the Stock Market Companion, Inc. is a content provider and publisher and not a registered broker-dealer or licensed investment professional. Our intent is to publish very accurate market information for an audience of subscribers (1000+ subscribers). By accessing the Stock Market Companion website and/or using the Stock Market Companion products and services such as this Market Update and accompanying Watchlist, you understand and agree that the material provided in the Stock Market Companion products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in a Stock Market Companion product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. To the extent any of the information contained in any Stock Market Companion product or service may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person. Before selling or buying any stock or other investment you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information and to solicit advice as to the appropriateness of a given transaction or investment.
- The markets were AGAIN divergent today, just as yesterday revealing further weakness in the technology sector while the broader market (S&P 500) and the DOW (DJ-30) held POSITIVE.
- Research in Motion (Ticker: RIMM $27.75) reported earnings last night that were a major disappointment. We go through the details below. The company received 2 broker upgrades going into earnings. The stock then lost -21.45% from yesterday’s close into today. We go through our steps in handling our brief investment in the stock this last week – AND WHY, below.
- Crude oil continued to descend today, reflecting a drop in value of the U.S. dollar – BUT also concern of future demand as the global economy slows down.
- The S&P 500 is finding support at its 200 day exponential moving average. If the broader market doesn’t find strength here and begins to sink further, the next near point of support is the low it plumbed during the recent nuclear crisis in Japan. If it fails that point, then the intermediate term trend will be DOWN.
- Please click here to send us your feedback. Let us know how we
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