– The Stock Market Companion –
15Minute Market Update
December 9, 2011
—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——
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-Executive Summary-
- UP Significantly. The markets were able to erase the vast majority of yesterday’s strong losses, putting “shorts” on the run. See below.
- Market Overview = The market is in a confirmed uptrend since the October 4th pivot point that we identified at its inception and profited from. The broader market, represented by the S&P 500 ETF SPY is “backing and filling” here at the $126 area. Click here for today’s SMC S&P 500 (ETF) chart.
- European leaders are trying hard to make improvements to their monetary union, before time runs out. Britain’s Prime Minister Cameron said “No.” We give him kudos. Click here for more details and see below. The UK is on a program to cut -40% from their national budget. That’s a completely opposite course than our own U.S. government.
- We provided two detail charts – Boeing and Nike for your review this weekend. Please see below. Both are demonstrating very favorable pricing patterns.
- General Electric announced another increase to their dividend today. This is the 4th time since 2010. At 17 cents/share, the dividend yields approx. 1.0%. This is not a great yield, but certainly a sign of improvement at Co., particularly at GE Capital. Click here for details.
- Ford Motor Co. announced this week that they were re-initiating their dividend after stopping the payment 5 years ago. At 5 cents/share, the dividend yield represents approx. 0.50%. This yield also is peanuts, but the significance lies in the company initiating the dividend again in the first place. Please click here for more details.
- Goldman Sachs has a deal for you… CD’s, backed by the FDIC $250K insurance and tied to monthly percentage gains in the DOW. Hopefully you are sitting down when you read this. The CD caps the gains that you can make at 1.5 to 2%/month, but gives you no limit on the losses that you can incur. Remarkable. Oh, yes – they earn an average fee of +3% on a 5 year deposit, regardless of performance of the underlying funds. Click here for more details.
- How about this one on making amends?
- This is a great, short story of entrepreneurial effort. Just right for the holidays.
- Please click here to send us your feedback. Let us know how we are doing – We are here to serve you. Support@Stockmarketcompanion.com
– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –
| Nr. | Co. | Ticker | Action | Entry Date | Current Gain (Loss) |
| 1 | Gentiva Health | GTIV | Holding | 11/15/2011 | +4% |
– Markets “At a Glance” –
(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)
(AS of 15:00 EST on Wednesday, December 7, 2011)
| Market | Price (Today’s Close) | Unit of Measure | Today’s Direction |
| SP-500 | 1,255.19 | Index | UP = +20.84 points |
| DOW-30 | 12,184.26 | Index | UP = +186.56 points |
| NASDAQ | 2,646.85 | Index | UP = +50.47 points |
– Market Trends –
Trend |
SP-500 |
DJ-30 |
NASDAQ |
| Short Term | Flat/UP | Flat/UP | Flat/UP |
| Intermediate | Flat | Flat | Flat |
| Long Term | Lateral | Lateral | Lateral |
*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.
– Market Perspectives –
For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –
Please click on the chart to view it in a larger size.
– Today’s Highlights –
Please click on today’s SMC S&P 500 ETF “SPY” Chart and you will see that the $126.60 area remains a point of contention. The broader market has not been able to penetrate this resistance line of $126.60 and stay above it Today’s good news from Europe – in terms of real progress made to tie the European Monetary Union tighter together fiscally – brought enthusiasm to the markets, which was enough to overcome yesterday’s weakness.
In terms of technical price action and the SPY, here’s what we like – A complete reversal of yesterday’s price weakness.
Here’s what we don’t like in terms of technical price action – Low volume participation today, despite what would be called good news coming from Europe.
Undoubtedly, there were many who initiated short positions based on yesterday’s classic break south in price on good volume. Many short sellers would be looking for a -50% retracement of the recent recovery rally from the SPY lows on 11/25 at $116.20 to the Wednesday 12/7 high of $127.26, which would represent a downside target of approx. $121.73. That would also conveniently “close” the gap up from 11/30 and give more conservative market participants an attractive entry point for longer term, long side (bullish) positions. Today’s positive actions in the markets foils that thinking for the shorts rather suddenly and has caused some to lose money today as they scramble to cover whatever they initiated yesterday.
The big news driving today’s approx. +200 point move is the significant negotiations taking place in Europe involving the future of the monetary union there and the realization that immediate steps have to be made to give the monetary union more authority to deal with big spending countries who do not reign in their expenditures. Here are the significant points –
- Britain said “No” and didn’t sign-on to the agreement. Click here for details (Washington-Post)
- The European Stability Fund will be introduced a year early – by 2012.
- The European Central Bank is providing liquidity to “un-freeze” the credit markets there.
- Private sector lendors (read : “Banks”) will not automatically see losses on bonds that they purchased from sovereign European nations (Politics vs. real accountability. Real accountability lost.)
Click here for more details from the New York Times about the European negotiations.
At this point, we give British Prime Minister Mr. Cameron big kudos for not being pushed into signing the agreement. He is his own man and has fought hard to get British deficit spending under control. Why should he give up that hard earned ground simply to accommodate his loose spending neighbors across the English Channel?
Switzerland is another country that has done quite well – not participating in the European Union.
– Story-Stock Investing –
Here are two stocks that have very favorable technical price patterns – Boeing (BA $71.93) and Nike (NKE $97.68)
Additionally, today we read that the National Labor Relations Board has ended its fight against Boeing for opening up a non-union plant in South Carolina. We also would like to point out that Boeing has reached an agreement this week for the next four years with its machinists union. That’s good news. Click here to read more.
Please click on each of these separate charts to open them into a separate browser tab and read our comments.
– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –
US Dollar |
1.3385 USD = 1 Euro |
USD / EUR |
Dollar = Flat |
Gold |
$1,714.16 |
Ounce |
Gold = Flat |
Oil |
$99.89 |
Barrel (West Texas Crude) |
Oil = Flat
|
30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage |
4.04% |
Percent |
Flat |
10 Yr. Bond Yield |
2.07% |
Percent |
UP a bit. |
1 Yr. CD |
1.16 |
Percent |
Flat |
–Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.
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Signing-Off for Today,
Your -Stock Market Companion
** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **
The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling. This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual, and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual. By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties. You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities. Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.
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- The markets were AGAIN divergent today, just as yesterday revealing further weakness in the technology sector while the broader market (S&P 500) and the DOW (DJ-30) held POSITIVE.
- Research in Motion (Ticker: RIMM $27.75) reported earnings last night that were a major disappointment. We go through the details below. The company received 2 broker upgrades going into earnings. The stock then lost -21.45% from yesterday’s close into today. We go through our steps in handling our brief investment in the stock this last week – AND WHY, below.
- Crude oil continued to descend today, reflecting a drop in value of the U.S. dollar – BUT also concern of future demand as the global economy slows down.
- The S&P 500 is finding support at its 200 day exponential moving average. If the broader market doesn’t find strength here and begins to sink further, the next near point of support is the low it plumbed during the recent nuclear crisis in Japan. If it fails that point, then the intermediate term trend will be DOWN.
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