– The Stock Market Companion –

15Minute Market Update

July 19, 2011

—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——

Published all Market Days
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-Executive Summary-

  • As hard as the markets fell yesterday morning, they pushed HIGHER today.  Assisting the markets today were favorable new housing starts as well as excellent corporate earnings.  See below.
  • Bank of America (BAC $9.57) reported terrible earnings this morning, before the market opened.  Some are hoping that this is the “Kitchen Sink Quarter”.  See more below.
  • Gold and silver pulled back quickly from their highs as President Obama announced possible progress in the U.S. debt ceiling negotiations.
  • At Stock Market Companion, we purchased shares in the ProShares Ultra-Short Silver ETF (ZSL $14.22) and issued and SMC Intra-Day Alert.  Our entry was at $13.83/share and our stop at just below $13.  We stated that we would not add-to our shares much above $14.32.  Maybe $14.50 would be our absolute limit.  See below.
  • SMC holding, Apple, Inc. (AAPL $376.85) announces stellar earnings after the close today.  Shares GAP above $400 in after hours trading.  See below.
  • Please click here to send us your feedback.  Let us know how we are doing – We are here to serve you. Support@Stockmarketcompanion.com

– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –

Nr. Co. Ticker Action Entry Date Current Gain (Loss)
1 Apple, Inc. AAPL Holding 6/20/2011 +19.3%
2 ProShares Ultra-Short Silver ZSL Purchased Today 7/19/2011 +2.8%
If the above “Current Holdings” table is empty it means that we are not holding ANY stocks at this time and that we are therefore 100% in cash.


– Markets “At a Glance” –

(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)

Market

Price (Today’s Close)

Unit of Measure

Today’s Direction

SP-500

1,326.73

Index

UP = +21.29 points

DOW-30

12,587.42

Index

UP = +202.26 points

NASDAQ

2,826.52

Index

UP = +61.41 points

NASDAQ 100

2,398.17

Index

UP = +54.16 points

– Market Trends –

Trend

SP-500

DJ-30

NASDAQ

NASDAQ 100

Short Term

Flat/Down

Flat/Down

Flat/Down

Flat/Down

Intermediate

Flat

Flat

Flat

Flat

Long Term

Lateral

Lateral

Lateral

Lateral

*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.

– Market Perspectives –

For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –

SMC SP-500 ETF Daily Chart

Please click on the chart to view it in a larger size.

– Today’s Highlights –

 

Under the steady “drip” of heightened concern of pending disaster due to sovereign debt issues both here in the U.S. and in Europe, the markets rose today due to –

  1. Better than expected new housing starts 629,000 (annualized) units.  The chart we shared yesterday from the U.S. Census Bureau showed the 3 month average on housing starts from 1999 at roughly 1.2 million.  If this current rate was sustainable, U.S. residential construction would be running currently at half its level – BEFORE – the housing boom really took off from 2003 to 2006.  We’ve included this interesting chart again today, below.
  2. Excellent earnings released from U.S. corporations – IBM (IBM $185.21); Johnson and Johnson (JNJ $66.72), and Coca-Cola (KO $69.32)
  3. Improvements in the banking sector for Wells Fargo and Company (WFC $28.41)

Later, in the course of today’s trading President Obama held a surprise press conference announcing that there may be progress made in the debt ceiling and budget negotiations – which strengthened the markets further and sent gold and silver down in value.

After the close, Apple, Inc. reported INCREDIBLE earnings – more below.

Here again is the very insightful chart from the U.S. Census Bureau showing new housing “starts”.


– Story-Stock Investing –

 

“Kitchen-Sink Quarter” is a term that stock analysts from time to time use to describe quarterly earnings announcements at companies that are having a terrible time with their businesses, when “everything” possibly negative is hopefully revealed and accounted for by the company and the only path left for the company and its future earnings is UP.  There is hope by some that Bank of America (BAC $9.57) has had such a quarter.

Bank of America announced grim stats for in terms of its operations –

  • Revenues fell -50.2% year over year.
  • Net loss of $8.8 billion
  • Consumer Real Estate Services lost -$14.5 billion.

These are big losses and during the question and answer session analysts were wondering how the company had gone “full-circle” from discussing the possibilities some time ago of increasing the dividend to now seeing numbers that may suggest that the company needs to raise more capital in order to meet its equity ratios required for lending.

In any case, it’s not clear to us if an investment in Bank of America is wise at this time.  Remember however, stocks are “on-sale” when their numbers are at their worst.  We should see soon enough if investors are more hopeful or simply remain disinterested in the company.

When President Obama staged the surprise press conference today and announced possible progress in the debt-ceiling negotiations with the U.S. congress, we read news that Senator Tom Coburn had re-joined the “Gang of Six” negotiators, and the price of silver and gold began to falter, we immediate purchased shares of the ProShares Ultra-Short Silver ETF (ZSL $14.22) and sent out this SMC Intra-Day Alert –

Dear Subscriber-Friend –

For those who believe that there may be a positive outcome yet to the debt-ceiling debate in Washington, an entry in a “Double-Short” on Silver – using the Pro-Shares Ultra-Short Silver ETF (Ticker: ZSL) – may be an idea.

At Stock Market Companion, we have gone ahead and taken a MODEST position at $13.83/share, with a stop down just below $13.

We would not be willing to purchase any more beyond $14.32/share.


Your – Stock Market Companion

We’ll simply see if this plays out in our favor.  So far, so good.

 

 

SMC holding Apple, Inc. (AAPL $376.85) announced spectacular earnings after the close today and the shares crested above $400 for the first time ever, in after hours trading.  Here are some highlights –

  • Quarterly earnings of $7.79/share
  • Quarterly revenues INCREASED +82% year over year.
  • Quarterly cash flow from operations = +$11.1 billion!

Apple, Inc. is simply doing a fantastic job.

 

Here is a chart of the Stock Market Companion 15Minute Market Update stock performance versus the SP-500.  Click on it to open in a separate browser window.

* Gains (losses) do not include brokerage fees.   Our returns are very strong … BUT …  We have to st os remind o everyone just like all other financial sites in America – Past Performance is No Guarantee of Future Returns.  Unlike the others however, our objective is to teach you to be able to make these types of strong returns On Your Own.

All of the investments – stocks, entries, and exits are listed on our Stock Market Companion Watchlist at the bottom of the spreadsheet, in the section labelled Former Holdings.

– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –

US Dollar

1.4153 USD = 1 Euro

USD / EUR

Dollar = Flat

Gold

$1,601.10

Ounce

Gold = Flat (Momentary Peak?)

Oil

$98.10

Barrel (West Texas Crude)

Oil = UP

30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage

4.69%

Percent

Flat

10 Yr. Bond Yield

2.89

Percent

Flat

1 Yr. CD

1.16

Percent

Flat

Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.

Please help us by sending your valuable feedback to – Support@stockmarketcompanion.com

Signing-Off for Today,

Your -Stock Market Companion

** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **

The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling today.  This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual,  and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual.  By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties.  You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities.  Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.

Furthermore, the Stock Market Companion, Inc. is a content provider and publisher and not a registered broker-dealer or licensed investment professional.  Our intent is to publish very accurate market information for an audience of subscribers (1000+ subscribers).  By accessing the Stock Market Companion website and/or using the Stock Market Companion products and services such as this Market Update and accompanying Watchlist, you understand and agree that the material provided in the Stock Market Companion products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in a Stock Market Companion product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.  To the extent any of the information contained in any Stock Market Companion product or service may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.  Before selling or buying any stock or other investment you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information and to solicit advice as to the appropriateness of a given transaction or investment.

  • The markets were AGAIN divergent today, just as yesterday revealing further weakness in the technology sector while the broader market (S&P 500) and the DOW (DJ-30) held POSITIVE.
  • Research in Motion (Ticker: RIMM $27.75) reported earnings last night that were a major disappointment.  We go through the details below.  The company received 2 broker upgrades going into earnings.  The stock then lost -21.45% from yesterday’s close into today.  We go through our steps in handling our brief investment in the stock this last week – AND WHY, below.
  • Crude oil continued to descend today, reflecting a drop in value of the U.S. dollar – BUT also  concern of future demand as the global economy slows down.
  • The S&P 500 is finding support at its 200 day exponential moving average.  If the broader market doesn’t find strength here and begins to sink further, the next near point of support is the low it plumbed during the recent nuclear crisis in Japan.  If it fails that point, then the intermediate term trend will be DOWN.
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