– The Stock Market Companion –

15Minute Market Update

June 13, 2011

—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——

Published all Market Days
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-Executive Summary-

  • The broader market (SP-500) and the DOW (DJ 30) were able to scratch their way into positive territory today.  The tech-laden NASDAQ closed again lower for the day.
  • Large U.S. banks are attracting interest down at significant lows. Earlier today, shares in Bank of America (BAC $10.97) was still being sold hard, but investors stepped-up this afternoon to bid the shares higher. Click here for an article that got our attention this late afternoon on BAC.
  • The STOP in our modest SMC holding Research in Motion (RIMM $36.20) came within 1 penny of being triggered today.  We’ll see what tomorrow brings.  When we purchased the reduced shares last Thursday, we were hoping for a sudden push higher.  We got a little that same day, but selling has knocked the stock back down.  With earnings approaching this Thursday, we are NOT going to open up our stop.  We are going to hold firm.
  • Please click here to send us your feedback.  Let us know how we are doing – We are here to serve you.  Support@Stockmarketcompanion.com

– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –

Nr. Co. Ticker Action Entry Date Current Gain (Loss)
1 Research in Motion RIMM Purchased Today 6/9/2011 -3%

If the above “Current Holdings” table is empty it means that we are not holding ANY stocks at this time and that we are therefore 100% in cash.

– Markets “At a Glance” –

(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)

Market

Price (Today’s Close)

Unit of Measure

Today’s Direction

SP-500

1,271.83

Index

FLAT = +.85 points

DOW-30

11,952.97

Index

FLAT= +1.06 points

NASDAQ

2,639.69

Index

Down = -4.04 points

NASDAQ 100

2,222.28

Index

FLAT = +1.19 points

– Market Trends –

Trend

SP-500

DJ-30

NASDAQ

NASDAQ 100

Short Term

Down

Down

Down

Down

Intermediate

Flat

Flat

Flat

Flat

Long Term

Lateral

Lateral

Lateral

Lateral

*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.

– Market Perspectives –

For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –

1. SMC SP-500 ETF Daily Chart (Click to open helpful chart in a separate browser window).

– Today’s Highlights –

Initially, the markets were unable to attract investors even at relatively weak levels today.   The old adage “Sell in May and go away”, referring to the equities markets in the days when participants would leave for their summer residences – and not the modern environment of global electronic investing, appears this year to be rather pertinent.  These near term uncertainties are keeping investors on the sidelines –

  1. The  U.S. government debt and when and to what degree and under which conditions the U.S. congress may increase the debt ceiling
  2. Concerns of slowing in the global economy

As of late, the U.S. dollar has been marching higher as globally, investors have lost their appetite for risk.  You may rightly ask – “Isn’t it risky to hold U.S. dollar assets, considering the wobbly fiscal condition of the U.S. government and our large national debt?”  From certain perspectives, it is risky – however large investors have relatively few choices when moving very large quantities of money.  Lately they have decided that they would rather be holding U.S. dollars than than the euro or equities.

Influencing market action today was a pull-back in the U.S. dollar.  Even though the dollar was a bit weaker today, crude oil sold off as did precious metals.  This is indicative of concerns of a global slowdown in growth.

The Timberland Co. (Ticker: TBL) was solicited for acquisition today by VF Corp (owner of Wrangler…) – at an approx. +44% premium to Friday’s selling price.  Stock buyers in April above $43.50/share are still underwater on their investment.

– Story-Stock Investing –

For those who didn’t get a chance to glance through our 15Minute Market Update on Friday, we mentioned this about Zagg, Inc. (Ticker: ZAGG)

Today, in the face of strong selling in the markets ZAGG, Inc. shares SHOT higher (Ticker: ZAGG).  Here’s what we like –

  1. Last 3 quarters of earnings look like this (most recent, first): $0.13, $0.13, $0.16/share.  Let’s say that ZAGG can hold $0.16/share, then the co’s current / trailing cumulative earnings / share is = $0.58.  Today the shares closed at $11.63.  Therefore the co’s p/e = 20 (approx.).  Notice how earnings per share is expanding.
  2. Revenue grew 206% year over year for the last quarter reported.  That’s strong.  Paying a p/e of 20 for 206% growth can be very acceptable.
  3. The company announced This Week receiving a patent for their clear plastic protective covering for smart phones and tablets.  How did they get a patent for that?  We don’t know, but they did.  They have apparently been working on it since 2006.  They may be able to press their competition for royalties or force them out of the market?
  4. The Zaggmate case and keyboard for the iPad looked like it was ill-timed, when Apple came out with its own clever cover.  But it appears that sales are strong and ZAGG partnered with Logitech to manufacture / market this tool.  That’s good.  Logitech is known in the marketplace for QUALITY.
  5. Zagg is expanding distribution channels of its plastic coverings for smart phones and tablet pc’s – well beyond BestBuy.  Excellent.
  6. Zagg’s margins are obviously strong.  BUT the balance sheet shows inventory marching strongly higher and some new debt.
  7. What is very interesting is that the stock has only 24.5 million shares outstanding, of which ONLY 17.6 are available to the investing community.  Of these, there 44% are sold SHORT !!

No matter how you slice it, today marks a confirmation day for the stock.  The shares broke through HIGHER on 6/1 above multi-month resistance at 10.58, pulled-back as the broader market sold off and now has pressed HIGHER.  While the background market sure is NOT favorable for such investments, we may get on board on Monday and place our stop at around $9.95?  With an entry at let’s say $10.80/share, if our loss was triggered that would be a -17% hit.  That’s too much.  Maybe we can purchase this one on weakness?  Let’s wait and see what Monday brings.

Click here for you SMC Daily Chart of ZAGG… it looks pretty good.

ZAGG shares gapped-up a bit higher today and were able to hold largely onto its gains.  Quite frankly, the stock looks excellent.  Unfortunately, the background market has been attrocious.   We are going to give this one a bit more time to show us its intentions.   If we were purchasing it at today’s closing price of $12.28, we would need to place our stop down BELOW the breakout point of $10.58/share.  Let’s say that we put our stop at $10.30.  If our stop was triggered after a purchase at $12.28, our loss would be -16%.  Not good.  Let’s say that we wanted to keep our losses to no greater than -8%, then our stop would need to be at approx. $11.29/share.  That’s a bit close – and liable to get triggered if the stock did some “backing and filling” from here.   We are simply not willing to “run after the stock” at this point.  The background market doesn’t support it and the shares of Zagg have demonstrated a tendency to pull-back sharply from highs and then charge higher.  We are disappointed that we didn’t pick up the stock on weakness at around $6.55/share when we saw it on weakness related to Apple’s new iPad cover and the weakness in the market relative to the Japan tsunami and then nuclear troubles.   Well, we have carefully placed a modest investment on Research in Motion (RIMM $36.20) on strong market and share weakness and have little to show for it at this time.  We were within 1 penny of being stopped out today on RIMM.

Ford Motor Co. shares dropped down to $12.80/share this afternoon before attracting a fair amount of volume to close at $13.14.  Today’s volume in Ford shares was the strongest in 2.5 months and indicates some investor interest – now that the shares have moved -31% (at today’s intra-day levels) down from January high,s of $18.68.   For comparative purposes, GM shares are down approx. -26% from January high’s.

Insurance trouble-child American International Group (Ticker AIG $28.98) is attracting buying interest down here and has received at least two brokerage upgrades from what we have seen – one of which from Deutsche Bank.  We also read this article on Bank of America (Ticker: BAC $10.97) after the close. Click here for article.

At the Stock Market Companion we do not and cannot give individual investment advice. According to the State of Washington RCW 21.20.005 the Stock Market Companion is not a Registered Financial Advisor and we do not render any advice on the basis of the specific investment situation of a particular individual. This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual,  and under no circumstances should our Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual.  By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties.  Please seek the counsel of a broker or other licensed investment professional for accurate pricing and concerning the suitability of all investments that you may be considering. Disclosure : You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities.  Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.

– Stock Market Companion – Performance –

Please click on this chart to see the Stock Market Companion 15Minute Market Update stock performance versus the SP-500.  It will open in a separate browser window.
* Gains (losses) do not include brokerage fees.   Our returns are very strong … BUT …  WE have to remind everyone just like all other financial sites in America – Past Performance is No Guarantee of Future Returns.  Unlike others however, our objective is to teach you to be able to make these types of strong returns On Your Own.

All of the investments – stocks, entries, and exits are listed on our Stock Market Companion Watchlist at the bottom of the spreadsheet, in the section labelled Former Holdings.

– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –

US Dollar

1.4402 USD = 1 Euro

USD / EUR

Dollar = Down a bit.

Gold

$1,518.20

Ounce

Gold = Down.

Oil

$96.78

Barrel (West Texas Crude)

Oil = Down

30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage

4.69%

Percent

Flat

10 Yr. Bond Yield

2.99

Percent

Flat at lows.

1 Yr. CD

1.16

Percent

Flat

Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.

Please help us by sending your valuable feedback to – Support@stockmarketcompanion.com

Signing-Off for Today,

Your -Stock Market Companion

** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **

The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling today.  This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual,  and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual.  By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties.  You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities.  Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.

Furthermore, the Stock Market Companion, Inc. is a content provider and publisher and not a registered broker-dealer or licensed investment professional.  Our intent is to publish very accurate market information for an audience of subscribers (1000+ subscribers).  By accessing the Stock Market Companion website and/or using the Stock Market Companion products and services such as this Market Update and accompanying Watchlist, you understand and agree that the material provided in the Stock Market Companion products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in a Stock Market Companion product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.  To the extent any of the information contained in any Stock Market Companion product or service may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.  Before selling or buying any stock or other investment you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information and to solicit advice as to the appropriateness of a given transaction or investment.


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