– The Stock Market Companion –

15Minute Market Update

May 27, 2011

—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——

Published all Market Days
Monthly Subscription $29.95

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-Executive Summary-

  • The market rose a bit higher again, but volume was very low as participants headed to an early Memorial Day Weekend.
  • Pending home sales information for April was released today and is a disappointment.
  • Bank stocks could also be positioning themselves for a bounce.  See below.
  • We’d like to extend our deepest thanks for our veterans and those serving our country today, for their sacrifice.
  • Markets are closed on Monday in observance of Memorial Day.  We wish you all a safe weekend.

– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –

Nr. Co. Ticker Action Entry Date Current Gain (Loss)
1 Cisco Systems,Inc. CSCO Holding (Reduced size) 5-10-2011 -8%
2 Amarin Corp. PLC AMRN HOLDING 5-19-2011 +11%
3 Hewlett Packard Co.

HPQ Purchased Today 5/26/2011 +1%

If the above “Current Holdings” table is empty it means that we are not holding ANY stocks at this time and that we are therefore 100% in cash.

– Markets “At a Glance” –

(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)

Market

Price (Today’s Close)

Unit of Measure

Today’s Direction

SP-500

1,325.69

Index

UP = +5.22 points

DOW-30

12,402.76

Index

UP = +21.54 points

NASDAQ

2,782.92

Index

UP =+15.22 points

NASDAQ 100

2,325.93

Index

UP = +14.98 points

– Market Trends –

Trend

SP-500

DJ-30

NASDAQ

NASDAQ 100

Short Term

Down

Down

Down

Down

Intermediate

Flat

Flat

Flat

Flat

Long Term

Lateral

Lateral

Lateral

Lateral

*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.

– Market Perspectives –

For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –

1. SMC SP-500 ETF Daily Chart (Click to open helpful chart in a separate browser window).

– Today’s Highlights –

Today, most market participants were thinking about the long weekend ahead and balancing out their trades for the month.  We did see a lift in the broad market AND in the DOW (DJ-30) and the NASDAQ.   It is unwise to read anything into today’s market moves – the volume was extremely low.

Importantly, the market is retaining its composure within a lateral consolidation on the intermediate term and has pulled-back in an orderly fashion from its highs on May 2nd – defining our short term downtrend.

This week, the California Pizza Kitchen (Ticker: CPKI) company was purchased – you guessed it – at a premium to the closing price of the company’s stock the day before the announcement.  In this case the premium was +10%.

Whereas new home sales data this week were an encouragement, pending home sales information from April released today was a disappointment. Click here for an article from the LA Times.


– Story-Stock Investing –

Our Stock Market Companion stock holdings performed well today.  Even Cisco Systems Inc. (Ticker: CSCO) was able to put a little water under the keel.  We are particularly encouraged with Hewlett-Packard’s (Ticker: HPQ) follow-through day today.  The stock crossed up through the $37/share line during the day, but settled at $36.96/share.  This gives us a little room on our entry and gives us a bit of an indication that we may be on the right track with this one.    Right now we have approx. +24% holding of our total capital available for investment on this stock – which represents a “full-bullet” on this investment.  If the stock pulls back, or builds a bit of a lateral consolidation in and around this point – there would be an opportunity to add more to a current position if we weren’t already so committed to the stock.  Remember, many mutual funds – by law – cannot invest more than 5% of their capital in any particular investment.  From time to time we are asked if we can share regularly about how much we are putting on any particular stock investment.   We are cautious about this as each individual’s risk tolerance is remarkably different.  Quite frankly here’s what makes us reluctant to share too much in this manner –

1. We don’t want to influence individuals to take more risk than they normally would.

2. We want to sleep well at night – without worrying that a subscriber-friend has re-mortgaged their home and put the money on a stock, or simply put too much money on the investment – resulting from our indiscretion.

We will try to indicate where it is prudent – how much we are putting on a stock.  We did so recently with our CSCO investment – just prior to the earnings call.

Perhaps the best way to handle a stock investment is this –  as opposed to looking to see how much the Stock Market Companion has on an investment – consider taking these steps –

1. Determine where you are putting your stop.

2. Pick an amount of money that you are prepared to lose on the investment.

3. Subtract your stop price from your possible entry price and divide this number into the amount of money that you are prepared to lose.  This will then give you the number of shares that you should consider purchasing, in order to stay within your tolerance for how much you are willing to lose.

For instance – We bought HPQ for $36.43/share and our stop is at $35.48.  $36.43-$35.48 = $0.95.   Let’s say we don’t want to lose more than $500 on this investment.  Therefore, $500/0.95 = 526 shares.

Maybe you want to give certain stocks more “room to breathe”.  In which case, you need to ratchet down your share counts.

There are some stocks that come along where we have very strong confidence, although in the back of our mind we have to always be mindful that something could happen that the stock exchanges may shut down due to some unforeseen calamity, or that the company that we are investing in could announce a significant negative situation.   We have put a lot of money on some individual stocks over the years, but we have learned our own true risk tolerance in the process – and sometimes experienced the folly of our greed.

As active individual stock investors, we should all consider what the legendary financier J.P. Morgan or someone before him once said to an anxious investor – “Sell down to the sleeping point.”

Today, the financial stocks performed better.  We have our eye on Bank of America down here at its lows.

For our subscriber-friends who are military veterans or those serving our country today, we want to take this opportunity to thank you with all our hearts for your sacrifice for us to have this great country.  Thank you.

The markets are closed on Monday, in observance of Memorial Day.

At the Stock Market Companion we do not and cannot give individual investment advice. According to the State of Washington RCW 21.20.005 the Stock Market Companion is not a Registered Financial Advisor and we do not render any advice on the basis of the specific investment situation of a particular individual. This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual,  and under no circumstances should our Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual.  By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties.  Please seek the counsel of a broker or other licensed investment professional for accurate pricing and concerning the suitability of all investments that you may be considering. Disclosure : You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities.  Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.

– Stock Market Companion – Performance –

Please click on this chart to see the Stock Market Companion 15Minute Market Update stock performance versus the SP-500.  It will open in a separate browser window.
* Gains (losses) do not include brokerage fees.   Our returns are very strong … BUT …  WE have to remind everyone just like all other financial sites in America – Past Performance is No Guarantee of Future Returns.  Unlike others however, our objective is to teach you to be able to make these types of strong returns On Your Own.

All of the investments – stocks, entries, and exits are listed on our Stock Market Companion Watchlist at the bottom of the spreadsheet, in the section labelled Former Holdings.

– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –

US Dollar

1.4315 USD = 1 Euro

USD / EUR

Dollar = Down

Gold

$1,537.30

Ounce

Gold = UP

Oil

$100.75

Barrel (West Texas Crude)

Oil = Flat

30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage

4.69%

Percent

Flat

10 Yr. Bond Yield

3.064

Percent

Flat today, at lows for the year.

1 Yr. CD

1.16

Percent

Flat

Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.

Please help us by sending your valuable feedback to – Support@stockmarketcompanion.com

Signing-Off for Today,

Your -Stock Market Companion

** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **

The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling today.  This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual,  and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual.  By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties.  You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities.  Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.

Furthermore, the Stock Market Companion, Inc. is a content provider and publisher and not a registered broker-dealer or licensed investment professional.  Our intent is to publish very accurate market information for an audience of subscribers (1000+ subscribers).  By accessing the Stock Market Companion website and/or using the Stock Market Companion products and services such as this Market Update and accompanying Watchlist, you understand and agree that the material provided in the Stock Market Companion products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in a Stock Market Companion product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.  To the extent any of the information contained in any Stock Market Companion product or service may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.  Before selling or buying any stock or other investment you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information and to solicit advice as to the appropriateness of a given transaction or investment.


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