– The Stock Market Companion –

15Minute Market Update

May 16, 2011

—— Stock Market Investing since the 1980’s ——

Published all Market Days
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-Executive Summary-

  • The markets moved again lower today and some individual stocks – like Amazon.com and Apple, Inc. –  moved quite sharply lower.  See below.
  • As the market began to wane further today and our Amarin (Ticker: AMRN) holdings were not able to hold $17/share and passed down through our break-even point, we SOLD our shares and sent out an SMC Intra-Day Alert.  Our exit was at $16.69/share.  When the overall market begins to falter as we are seeing, stocks that have had big moves – as AMRN has – can quickly give up -50% OR MORE of their recent moves, even if the future is quite bright for the company.  We will either purchase the stock on extreme weakness at the sign of serious institutional investor interest OR when the stock again begins moving above $17/share – on volume.  See below.
  • After-hours breaking news at Hewlett Packard has their shares DOWN -5%.  See below.
  • In our Story-Stocks section we provide a SMC Daily Chart of Amazon.com and explanation of late bull-market behavior.
  • Would you please feel free to give us feedback at support@stockmarketcompanion.com for insights of what you like about our work and where you would like to see improvements.  We are here to serve you.
  • Here is a video interview of a father and son using the Stock Market Companion successfully together – as a teaching and investing tool.

– Stock Market Companion – Current Holdings –

Nr. Co. Ticker Action Entry Date Current Gain (Loss)
1 Cisco Systems,Inc. CSCO Holding (Reduced size) 5-10-2011 -7%
2 Amarin Corp. PLC ARMN Sold Today. 5-10-2011 -1.2% (FINAL)

If the above “Current Holdings” table is empty it means that we are not holding ANY stocks at this time and that we are therefore 100% in cash.

– Markets “At a Glance” –

(Please scroll down to the end of the report to see your favorite benchmarks – Dollar, Oil, Gold … closing prices and daily direction.)

Market

Price (Today’s Close)

Unit of Measure

Today’s Direction

SP-500

1,329.47

Index

Down = -8.30 points

DOW-30

12,548.37

Index

Down = -47.38 points

NASDAQ

2,782.31

Index

Down =-46.16 points

NASDAQ 100

2,337.85

Index

Down = -41.39 points

– Market Trends –

Trend

SP-500

DJ-30

NASDAQ

NASDAQ 100

Short Term

Down

Down

Down

Down

Intermediate

UP

UP

UP

UP

Long Term

Lateral

Lateral

Lateral

Lateral

*Summary of terms from Trader Vic II-Principles of Professional Speculation (pg. 140-141)
*_________* Represents a change in trend rating.

– Market Perspectives –

For your added perspective, we’ve included this chart of the broader market (Successful stock investors develop and start with a minds-eye view of the broader market and keep it clear) –

1. SMC SP-500 ETF Daily Chart (Click to open helpful chart in a separate browser window).

– Today’s Highlights –

What we are seeing is a big shift in risk appetite – AWAY from RISK.  This is evident in these areas –

  1. Turn-around in the U.S. dollar (The U.S. dollar is moving HIGHER).
  2. Increasing DEMAND in U.S. Treasuries, driving down the key 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond YIELD.
  3. Sell-off in the equities (stock) markets beginning on May 2nd = in spite of the excellent news of Osama Bin Laden’s end.
  4. Market leading stocks abruptly falling from recent highs.
  5. Precious metals have been no safe haven as sellers there too knew that things had gone pretty far (and the U.S. dollar was turning higher).
  6. Stocks that are posting excellent earnings are being sold-off, on “sell-the-news” type of action.  Today, JC Penney (Ticker: JCP) posted excellent earnings, but the shares were sold off hard throughout the day.

Today the markets exhibited more of the same.  Stocks previously showing real strength – notably – Amazon.com and Apple, Inc. –  came in pretty hard.

Significant news this morning was that the International Monetary Fund chief – Mr.  Dominique Strauss-Kahn was arrested.  We won’t go into the reason for his arrest, but simply say that it reveals a serious character flaw and that it was not financially related.  Having Mr. Strauss-Kahn absent in Europe puts additional shadows on the euro at a time when it needs more strength.

Last week we mentioned that market leading stocks were not behaving well.  We mentioned that the stock of Amazon.com had our attention, but – due to its strong 1.5 month vertical move – was not in a safe buying position.  Today the Amazon.com shares (AMZN) gave back -4% and over the last two days have taken back almost 3 weeks of gains.   We are glad that we stayed away.

After the close a news article (click here for article) reported that Hewlett-Packard CEO Mr. Apotheker sent an internal memo to key managers to be ready for “tough times” ahead.  He told them to cut back expenses and slow hiring.  This news contributes to our increasing uncertainty at Stock Market Companion about the future and the need to keep our investment resources safe from strong market pullbacks.

The market is behaving as if it sees “tough times” ahead too.  At the SMC, aside for a very modest holding in Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) we are 100% in cash.

– Story-Stock Investing –

Please see this SMC Daily Chart for Amazon.com (Ticker: AMZN) with our notes from today.  Click here for the chart. It shows classic action of a market leading stock, in the late stages of a bull-market –

  1. April 26th : Strong share price appreciation – even though total operating expenses exceeded revenue growth AND the company MISSED earnings expectations.
  2. Continued move higher, on reasonable volume – BUT the key move higher into all-time high territory came on LOW VOLUME.  The stock appeared to be “running on fumes”.
  3. Rapid sell-off as late-comers cut their losses and profit-taking emerges from the last 1.5 month rally.

As the market began to wane FURTHER today and our Amarin (Ticker: AMRN) holdings were not able to hold $17/share AND passed DOWN through our break-even point, we SOLD our shares and sent out this SMC Intra-Day Alert –

Dear Subscriber-Friend –

Just a moment ago, we sold our holdings of Amarin Corp. PLC (Ticker: AMRN).   This is a disappointment, but we want to protect our resources and be ready for when this market presents – again – excellent setups.

Our sell point was $16.69/share.

Amarin Corp. PLC has excellent developments taking place with a lead heart drug.  The stock however needed to push HIGHER two days ago, and CONTINUE higher.  Today’s push back through our buy point is not favorable and we are going to cut this one loose.  There is TOO MUCH GROUND that this stock can LOSE if the overall market begins to go down – which we are seeing with the NASDAQ today.

For your protection and our own, we would like to remind everyone that this is not an investment recommendation for any particular individual.  We cannot possibly know the risk tolerance and investment suitability of such investments for any particular subscriber. Successful investors know their own objectives, purposes, and risks associated with any investment – whether in real estate, stocks, or other investments.  Each investor is on their own.


We are simply reporting the SMC actions in the market place.

Your – Stock Market Companion

At the Stock Market Companion we do not and cannot give individual investment advice. According to the State of Washington RCW 21.20.005 the Stock Market Companion is not a Registered Financial Advisor and we do not render any advice on the basis of the specific investment situation of a particular individual. This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual,  and under no circumstances should our Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual.  By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties.  Please seek the counsel of a broker or other licensed investment professional for accurate pricing and concerning the suitability of all investments that you may be considering. Disclosure : You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities.  Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.

– Stock Market Companion – Performance –

Please click on this chart to see the Stock Market Companion 15Minute Market Update stock performance versus the SP-500.  It will open in a separate browser window.
* Gains (losses) do not include brokerage fees.   Our returns are very strong … BUT …  WE have to remind everyone just like all other financial sites in America – Past Performance is No Guarantee of Future Returns.  Unlike others however, our objective is to teach you to be able to make these types of strong returns On Your Own.

All of the investments – stocks, entries, and exits are listed on our Stock Market Companion Watchlist at the bottom of the spreadsheet, in the section labelled Former Holdings.

– Benchmarks “At a Glance” –

US Dollar

1.4163 USD = 1 Euro

USD / EUR

Dollar = Flat

Gold

$1,490.90

Ounce

Gold = Lower

Oil

$96.95

Barrel (West Texas Crude)

Oil = A lot lower!

30 Yr. Fixed Mortgage

4.69%

Percent

Flat

10 Yr. Bond Yield

3.149

Percent

Lower

1 Yr. CD

1.16

Percent

Flat

Data Source : Financial Visualizations Inc.

Please help us by sending your valuable feedback to – Support@stockmarketcompanion.com

Signing-Off for Today,

Your -Stock Market Companion

** Stock Market Companion Disclaimer **

The Stock Market Companion (SMC) Market Update and Watchlist are published documents to subscribers that show how we (SMC) are viewing the markets and what we are watching, investing in or selling today.  This information is for a wide readership and is not intended for any particular individual,  and under no circumstances should this Market Update or Watchlist be considered an investment recommendation or plan for any specific individual.  By accessing this material, you agree that the Stock Market Companion will not be held liable for any actions taken by a subscriber or other parties.  You understand that the Stock Market Companion holds positions in the above mentioned securities.  Based on market related or personal events these positions may change without notice.

Furthermore, the Stock Market Companion, Inc. is a content provider and publisher and not a registered broker-dealer or licensed investment professional.  Our intent is to publish very accurate market information for an audience of subscribers (1000+ subscribers).  By accessing the Stock Market Companion website and/or using the Stock Market Companion products and services such as this Market Update and accompanying Watchlist, you understand and agree that the material provided in the Stock Market Companion products and services is for informational and educational purposes only, and that no mention of a particular security in a Stock Market Companion product or service constitutes a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold that or any other security, or that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person.  To the extent any of the information contained in any Stock Market Companion product or service may be deemed to be investment advice, such information is impersonal and not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person.  Before selling or buying any stock or other investment you should consult with a qualified broker or other financial professional to verify pricing information and to solicit advice as to the appropriateness of a given transaction or investment.


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